Canada is experiencing a widening fertility gap as more people say they want children, yet fewer births are actually taking place across the country. New data suggests intentions to start families are increasing, especially among younger Canadians, even as national fertility rates continue to fall to historic lows.
According to recent Statistics Canada findings, the proportion of Canadians who say they plan to have biological children rose from 41 percent in 2021 to 46 percent in 2024. The largest shift was seen among youth aged 15 to 24, where intentions increased from 53 percent to 64 percent over the same period. Health experts say the trend reflects growing awareness of reproductive planning among younger adults who may be preparing earlier for parenthood later in life.
Despite rising intentions, Canada’s fertility rate has dropped to about 1.25 children per woman, placing the country in the category of ultra low fertility nations. Researchers say more Canadians are delaying childbirth from their twenties into their thirties, contributing to a widening gap between the number of children people hope to have and the number they ultimately do.
Experts also warn that misconceptions about fertility treatments and limited awareness of male fertility factors may be contributing to the trend. Specialists note that male fertility accounts for roughly half of infertility cases, yet public understanding remains limited. Some couples also overestimate the effectiveness of options such as egg freezing, which does not guarantee successful pregnancy outcomes.
Researchers say Canada’s ultra low fertility rate could have long term consequences for the country’s economy and social systems, including pressures on the labour force and increased strain on health care and pension programs. Advocates are calling for stronger education and support resources to help Canadians better understand reproductive health and family planning options earlier in life.
