Canada’s political landscape is undergoing a seismic shift with Justin Trudeau resigning in disgrace amidst mounting internal and external pressures. His Liberal Party, weakened and unable to hold a strong majority, faces an inevitable electoral loss to Pierre Poilievre’s Conservative Party, according to polls. Poilievre’s anticipated victory raises an important question: will he repair the strained relationship with India or continue down the divisive path carved out by his predecessor?
Under Trudeau’s leadership, India-Canada relations hit rock bottom, largely due to his government’s tacit support for Khalistani separatists. His 2018 visit to India drew widespread criticism, particularly when a convicted Khalistani separatist was controversially invited to his delegation. Recent years have seen ties deteriorate further, with Trudeau accusing India of involvement in the killing of Hardeep Singh Nijjar, a claim yet to be substantiated. Consequently, diplomatic relations were frozen, with both nations expelling each other’s diplomats. Trudeau’s exit presents an opportunity to reset the bilateral relationship, but much depends on the incoming leadership.
Pierre Poilievre has shown signs of adopting a more pragmatic approach toward India. He has criticized Trudeau’s handling of the India dossier and pledged to restore professionalism and mutual respect in the relationship. Poilievre has avoided exploiting the India-Khalistan issue for political gain, unlike Trudeau, who heavily politicized the matter. However, Poilievre’s strategy of steering clear of such controversies, including canceling a Diwali celebration at the height of diplomatic tensions, reflects his calculated approach to avoid fueling further discord.
Historically, Conservative governments in Canada, particularly under Stephen Harper, have fostered warmer ties with India. Harper’s tenure saw significant advancements in trade and diplomacy, including a landmark nuclear agreement. Poilievre, who served as a minister in Harper’s government, is expected to follow this legacy. However, he faces immediate domestic challenges, such as inflation, housing crises, and immigration issues, before focusing on foreign policy.
If Poilievre can shift the narrative from viewing India as an interfering force to addressing the influence of Khalistani extremists within Canada, there is potential for significant progress. Reviving stalled free trade negotiations and aligning with India on global platforms like the Quad could bring mutual economic and strategic benefits. While the shadow of Trudeau’s controversial policies looms large, Poilievre’s commitment to dismantling his legacy offers hope for a diplomatic reset.
The road to mending India-Canada ties requires patience and careful navigation, but under Poilievre’s leadership, there is a real possibility of turning a new page in bilateral relations.
