As tensions rise in the Middle East following a deadly drone strike against U.S. troops in Jordan, experts suggest that Canada may find itself involved in supporting the United States’ retaliatory actions against Iranian proxies operating in Syria and Iraq. The recent attack, which claimed the lives of three U.S. soldiers, has prompted concerns about Canada’s potential role in the unfolding conflict.
**Canada’s Condemnation and Commitment**
The Canadian government has condemned the attack by Iran-backed groups against U.S. forces in Jordan. However, when questioned about Canada’s involvement in the growing conflict, the government declined to speculate on future military operations. Department of National Defence spokesperson Andrée-Anne Poulin stated that Canada remains committed to supporting its partners in the fight against terrorism in the region but refrained from outlining specific actions.
**Expectations from Analysts**
While the government remains cautious in its statements, experts offer insights into the possible roles Canada could play in this evolving situation.
Ali Ghanbarpour-Dizboni, Chair of the Military and Strategic Studies Program at the Royal Military College of Canada, emphasizes the importance of Canada honoring its obligations to the United States, its primary security and commercial partner. While he doesn’t believe Canada will be directly involved in combat, he suggests that the Canadian Forces may provide logistical or general assistance, such as in airstrikes or drone strikes.
Walter Dorn, a Professor of Defence Studies, anticipates a minor role for Canada, similar to its involvement in defending commercial ships in the Red Sea, a critical trade route. He emphasizes that Canada is likely to endorse U.S. actions against Iranian-backed groups based on intelligence received but cautions about the accuracy of such intelligence, citing past instances of incorrect information.
James Horncastle, an Assistant Professor in International Relations, expects Canada to have an indirect role in the conflict, particularly in supporting cyber efforts against Iran through its membership in intelligence-sharing alliances like the Five Eyes.
**The Broader Concern: Iran’s Ambitions**
Aurel Braun, a Professor of International Relations, highlights the global concern surrounding Iran’s actions. He views Iran as a central address for multiple conflicts and identifies the regime as having dangerous ambitions, including acquiring nuclear weapons. He asserts that addressing Iran’s actions is not solely an American concern but a global one.
**Differing Opinions on Canada’s Involvement**
However, not all experts agree on Canada’s role in the conflict. Peter Denton, an Associate Professor at the Royal Military College of Canada, believes Canada should avoid military involvement and instead signal support for moderates in Iran who seek peace and prosperity. He argues against further military actions that could exacerbate the situation.
As the situation in the Middle East unfolds, Canada faces decisions regarding its role in addressing the challenges posed by Iranian proxies and the broader concerns associated with the region. The government’s stance and actions will be closely watched as it navigates these complex international dynamics.
